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Would is more definitive than could in most cases.
"That sounds like something Jim would do."
"I don't think Kevin would ever do that."
But when phrased as a question, "Would you like coffee?" it's asking your preference, again, a definitive yes/no.
Could is less about definitive fact, and more about possibilities.
"Yes, I could see Jim doing that."
Did he do it? Did he not do it? Unknown, but the possibility is there.
"No, I don't think Kevin could do that."
Is it POSSIBLE Kevin did something? It's possible, but the speaker finds it unlikely.