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It's nearly impossible to mobilize a large force quickly, or covertly. There would be plenty of warning, especially if the US is involved because there's an ocean in the way in either direction.
If Western nations decide to attack Russia, I doubt the conflict will stay limited to Russia.
An attack from the West on Russia will balloon into a global conflict. It will be bad for everyone, even if it stays limited to conventional warfare.
I agree with your prediction of China’s behavior (and especially their motivations) 100%.
It will be bad for northern hemisphere *
Aside from the global environmental and economic fallout, I imagine many Southern Hemisphere countries would be dragged in as well.
This point of view is at best myopic.
A more complete description would be ignorant, narrow-minded and reckless.