this post was submitted on 27 Jan 2025
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Image is of Colombian President Gustavo Petro giving a speech at the UN in 2022.


Trump has arrived in office with the force of an avalanche; ~~ending~~ slowing a genocide on the one hand, while simultaneously promising a total nightmare for minorities and the poor throughout and outside the United States on the other hand. [edited for clarity; I do not actually think Trump has ended the Palestinian genocide obviously, I was making a joke - but the ceasefire is a genuine improvement in conditions for millions of people right now who are on the edge of death, so it cannot be dismissed]

It's still far too early to truly compare and contrast his imperial strategy with Biden's, but initial signs show that there does appear to be somewhat of a reorientation. Biden was famous for being two-faced; ostensibly offering aid and stability, while also blowing up your pipeline to ensure you did not actually have an alternative to his idea. Trump, meanwhile, seems only really capable of aggression, threatening several "allied" nations with what may as well be sanctions because of the economic harm they'd do. I suspect we'll be debating for a long time how much of this can be attributed to the specific characteristics of Trump, or whether he merely embodies the zeitgeist of imperial decline - a wounded empire lashing out with extreme violence to try and convince everybody, including themselves, that they can still be the world imperialist hegemon.

I'll admit it: I did not believe that Trump would actually try and go ahead with putting tariffs on basically anybody who annoys him. And while the threat could still be empty in regards to countries like China and Canada, Colombia is the first indication of the potential of his strategy. Despite some fiery words from President Petro, after Trump's administration revealed the punishment if Colombia did not agree, it appears that Colombia will in fact be accepting deported migrants after all. It's funny how that works.


Last week's thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 58 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

sicko-wistful

doesnt want to archive so bezospost linky

[–] Parzivus@hexbear.net 41 points 1 day ago

Probably a good thing tbh, as much as we enjoy the collapse of amerikkka, tens of millions of people losing Medicaid is pretty awful

That's good news, I don't want my family members losing their jobs

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 51 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Milei has announced that he will build a fence on the Argentina-Bolivia border and that he may plan similar decisions with Paraguay and Brazil.

For Brazil, Argentina plans to intensify its “border control” with Santa Catarina, more specifically between the cities of Bernardo de Irigoyen (AR) and Dionísio Cerqueira (BR). Although no fence has been announced, the Argentine government is not ruling out the possibility. For Paraguay, the measure is planned for the borders of the Argentine provinces of Chaco and Salta. Security Minister Patricia Bullrich said that “within our border we do what we want. We are putting a fence around our house, our homeland”.

Lula please send your Super Tucanos and bomb Buenos Aires, the people yearns to be free from this Ancap demon

[–] Maturin@hexbear.net 22 points 1 day ago

A fence to keep people from escaping his prison country

[–] Torenico@hexbear.net 10 points 1 day ago

Ngl the Brazilian air force can wipe out the entire Argentinian air force and navy, we got nothing to fire back lmao

[–] glimmer_twin@hexbear.net 40 points 1 day ago (3 children)

So is RFK gonna get confirmed?

[–] CleverOleg@hexbear.net 36 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (5 children)

I mean honestly I was shocked Hegseth got approved, and if he did then anything’s possible. That said, RFK wants to stop funding all research into infectious diseases and vaccines, you are cutting off a lot of money that flows into different pockets. Also, even back in the 19th century the bourgeoisie knew they couldn’t totally escape pandemics and health crises. If bird flu mutates to human to human transmission, and it really does have a CFR of 14-33%, that will be an utter meltdown of the global economy, and even they don’t want that despite a few odd techbros like Huffman getting to live out their survivalist bunker dreams.

[–] TheModerateTankie@hexbear.net 14 points 1 day ago

Masks are pretty damn effective against the flu, all we would have to do is adopt universal masking in key locations and ... Oh... Oh, right. We're fucked.

[–] Hexboare@hexbear.net 4 points 1 day ago

If bird flu... really does have a CFR of 14-33%

Since 2003 to 14 July 2023, the World Health Organization (WHO) has documented 878 cases of HPAI H5N1 infection in humans and 458 (52.16%) fatalities

That said, it's very hard to assess the extent to which this would translate to a novel H5N1 variant with human to human transmission, let alone one with very high human to human transmission

[–] Dessa@hexbear.net 18 points 1 day ago (1 children)
[–] FLAMING_AUBURN_LOCKS@hexbear.net 20 points 1 day ago (1 children)

case fatality rate— the percentage of cases that end in death

[–] newmou@hexbear.net 14 points 1 day ago

I thought it was around 50%

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[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 24 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Depends on how vindictive the Dems are. They probably want people to have “a taste of Trump” and exert enough psychological trauma first before pulling back. They want the people to feel punished for not turning out to vote for the Democrats.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 46 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

Colombia rejected the entry into the country of two United States military planes carrying deportees as part of President Donald Trump's crackdown on irregular immigration, a U.S. official said.

[–] jack@hexbear.net 24 points 1 day ago

Can I get a Petro emoji or what

[–] gay_king_prince_charles@hexbear.net 41 points 2 days ago (2 children)
[–] buckykat@hexbear.net 4 points 1 day ago

Interesting that it opts for running entirely on CPU for (much) cheaper ram

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 70 points 2 days ago (3 children)

France: The General Confederation of Workers (CGT) donated medical materials and supplies to three pediatric hospitals in Havana, Cuba, including the William Soler University Pediatric Hospital.

Rare Francais W.

[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 30 points 2 days ago

Hell fucking YEAH! This is the solidarity we need!

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[–] SchillMenaker@hexbear.net 58 points 2 days ago (2 children)

What are the chances that they actually know who is working for the government? Like what if we all try to "accept the buyout?"

[–] NotThatKindOfFedPosting@hexbear.net 38 points 2 days ago (2 children)

got a .gov email and your banking information on OPM files?

[–] Hexboare@hexbear.net 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

Just look up the org chart of your local agency and spoof some emails?

[–] SchillMenaker@hexbear.net 25 points 1 day ago (1 children)

You're imagining this being done the way it should be if any of it made sense. Elon is using 19 year-old psycho libertarians to administer this, I have to imagine that the actual federal employees are happy to stand by and watch these kids fuck this entire cockamamie process up. We need our own Department Of Grifting Elon.

[–] tripartitegraph@hexbear.net 19 points 1 day ago (1 children)

Oh god it's just like when we sent all those 20-23 year olds to head up the hollowed out Iraqi ministries. Posting on message boards asking how to do their job

[–] hotcouchguy@hexbear.net 7 points 1 day ago (1 children)

lol now we're doing De-Ba'athification at home

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 48 points 2 days ago

In July 2024, Panama president José Raúl Mulino said his country was formally applying to join Mercosur as an associate member. In January 2025, Panama joined Mercosur as an associate member.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 45 points 2 days ago (2 children)

The CELAC extraordinary meeting of Heads of State and Government called for Thursday has been cancelled. The Pro Tempore Presidency says Honduras has received systematic opposition from Member Countries on the issue of Haiti and concerning the issue of migrants.

The statement by the Pro Tempore Presidency (Honduras), says that certain Member Countries have privileged other principles and interests different from those of the unity of the Latin American and Caribbean region as a Community.

Some progressive governments are evidently on a short leash and simply not prepared to take the plunge and oppose the empire Moments ago, President Xiomara Castro announced the enactment of the national emergency strategy for the protection of Honduran migrants. It includes an action program for Hondurans in an irregular migratory situation in the US, as well as those in transit & returned to Honduras.

President Xiomara says she'll instruct institutions of the newly created Migration Governance Council to immediately carry out in the next 72 hours, a technical mission of verification and support to migrants on the southern border of the US and the northern border of Mexico.

President @XiomaraCastroZ: "The displacement of people either within or outside [Honduras] has worsened with the implementation of a neoliberal economic model that deepened dependence, inequality, environmental degradation and violence." Deportations of Hondurans from the United States have decreased by at least 50% between 2000 and 2024.

  • 2022: 88,000
  • 2023: 58,000
  • 2024: 44,000

There are an estimated 1.8 million Hondurans currently in the United States, of which Honduras has been informed that 261,651 have deportation orders and are not in the custody of the U.S. Immigration Service. 1,349 have deportation orders and are in custody. XC says the immediate expulsion of migrants from several Latin American and Caribbean countries, including Honduras, "undoubtedly generates a humanitarian and economic crisis in our nation" and reiterates willingness to maintain a close dialogue with the US on the matter.

The decreed and enacted national emergency strategy for the protection of Honduran migrants includes an action program for: 1. Hondurans in an irregular migratory situation in the United States 2.Honduran migrants in transit 3. Returned Honduran migrants. The strategy includes strengthening of agreements w/governments of transit countries, Guatemala and Mexico, coordinating of voluntary humanitarian return flights for Hondurans in Mexico, new consular offices where Hondurans reside, passport/national ID issuance will be sped up.

Camila - Kawsachuan News

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[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 66 points 2 days ago (1 children)

I’m really happy to see Colombia standing up for itself even if there isn’t much it can do. For too long the country has been seen as a sexpat and drug lord haven that only exists to serve foreigners interested in both.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 40 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Colombia was also really close with Israel, iirc, Petro ended all contracts with the Israeli companies and Army. But yeah, I was a bit surprised to see Petro win the elections, but people were really tired of Uribismo.

Now, if Paraguay somehow elects a Socdem Colorado or a Liberal President, and cuts relations with Taiwan and Israel, I'll be very surprised. Paraguay is still the most conservative country in South America.

[–] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 27 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Paraguay is such an oddity. I know little about it other than it being lockstep with the US on seemingly everything.

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 26 points 2 days ago

Brazil and Argentina screwed them over a lot during the 1800s, the US was the only thing that prevented them from annexing the country or destroying all of it (they destroyed about 80% of the country). During the 1930s they had a war with Bolivia, in which Brazil and Argentina supported Paraguay, and Paraguay won the war. After the war, the army took over the government for two years, under the command of a Socratic military dictator called General Rafael Franco (practically the Paraguayan Juan Perón).

A few things happened until, in the 1950s, General Alfredo Stroessner took complete control of the country, he was a very bad person and politician, he was extreme right-wing, genocided the natives, took away rights, created death squads, a cult of personality, was a pedophile, sold drugs, had an alliance with Taiwan, the US and Israel (he had a plan to resettle the Palestinians in rural Paraguay)

He was part of the Colorado Party, but as the party is very large (the party has many factions, the same party has Democratic Socialists/SocDems and Far-Right Nationalists) some guerrilla movements were formed against Strossner and were led by Colorado members (and yes, some of these guerrillas were left-wing and others right-wing).

After that, in 1989, the army removed Strossner from power and Paraguay went through difficult times during the 1990s, with attempted coups and political crises (the president literally killed the vice-president in 1999, which led the congress to form the formation of a government of national unity between Colorado and the liberals). They elected Fernando Lugo (a social-democratic Catholic priest) in 2008, but he was removed from power in 2012 in a US-backed coup.

[–] Torenico@hexbear.net 84 points 2 days ago (5 children)

Qassam has released quite a lot of footage of their operations against the IOF during the last month or so, before the signing of the ceasefire. All I can say is that despite 15 months of relentless bombing and a full blown ground operation, the Resistance's fighting capacity is still there. It's not untouched though because I believe the Resistance has suffered tremendously, but they are more than able to fight back and even determine the pace of fighting. In the latest series of videos released by Qassam, named "Ambushes of Death", the picture couldn't look worse of the "israelis".., scores of their soldiers are killed or seriously wounded in elaborated RPG, IED and sniper operations in the last few months. In one such operation, a Qassam Brigades team detonates a BIG IED under a Merkava tank and flips it over, tossing the turret away from the chassis in the process, resulting in multiple dead for the "israelis" as well as gravely wounded.

Do check out Jon Elmer's twitter account if you haven't, it's a great archive of Qassam/PIJ footage that might be uh.. handy I guess.

I have nothing but admiration for the military prowess of the Gazans, they're fighting in a small strip of land that is almost entirely flat and urban. There are no mountains or jungles to run away to, it's just a big city with smaller ones as satellites, the sea and the big border with "israel" and Egypt, completely at the marcy of their genocidal neighbors. Their only hope was to dig, dig and dig, study every single street and corner that exists and have a plan for each part of the city, strike only when necessary or when the enemy is completely distracted (like when these mfs just start posing for pictures or bulldozing buildings). Their way of conducting urban guerrilla warfare will be studied for generations, there have been urban guerrillas in the past but I think none is just as good as this one.

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[–] Boise_Idaho@hexbear.net 70 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

The merciless January counteroffensive against China watchers continues. Further thawing between India and China:
https://xcancel.com/MayadeenEnglish/status/1884149054914888088

India and China have tentatively agreed to restart direct flights between their countries, nearly five years after they were suspended due to the COVID19 pandemic and escalating political tensions.

The announcement on Monday came after India’s senior diplomat visited Beijing, suggesting a potential easing of strained relations between the two most populous nations in the world.

Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri’s visit to the Chinese capital is among the most significant official interactions since the deadly border clash in the Himalayas in 2020, which pushed relations to a breaking point.

India’s statement further noted that China had agreed to allow the resumption of pilgrimages to a revered shrine dedicated to the Hindu deity Krishna, a tradition that had been suspended since the start of the decade.

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