this post was submitted on 11 Oct 2023
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top 34 comments
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[–] GCostanzaStepOnMe@feddit.de 66 points 1 year ago (2 children)

It's fifty fifty. Either you win money, or you don't.

[–] anolemmi@lemmi.social 39 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Just got two Powerball tix for tonight, thanks! Since one ticket is 50%, two should basically guarantee I win!

Gonna go kick my boss in the balls and walk out, should be fine, right? Probably.

[–] Gigan@lemmy.world 17 points 1 year ago (1 children)

two tickets actually lowers your odds

50% x 50% = 25%

[–] NorthWestWind@lemmy.world 5 points 1 year ago (2 children)

That's the odds to win both. Op need one of them only.

[–] kSPvhmTOlwvMd7Y7E@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago

Go cast your fancy magic someplace else.

[–] surewhynotlem@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago

That's why you should add instead of multiply.

0.5 + 0.5 = 0.10

So the odds are even worse

[–] son_named_bort@lemmy.world 5 points 1 year ago

I see no flaws here.

[–] Karyoplasma@discuss.tchncs.de 3 points 1 year ago

Correct. Do it like Homer and use you boss's head as bongos.

[–] Honytawk@lemmy.zip 4 points 1 year ago (1 children)

That would imply the one organising the gambling isn't taking a cut.

[–] GCostanzaStepOnMe@feddit.de 1 points 1 year ago

Nah you're wrong

[–] Kruemel@feddit.de 28 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Sorry i'm the boring guy. It is (more than) 20 times more probable to lose 100% than to win 2000% in most gambling.

[–] ifGoingToCrashDont@lemmy.world 26 points 1 year ago

Actually it's 50%. Either you win or you don't: 50%.

/s

[–] The_Picard_Maneuver@startrek.website 18 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

You're going to get us kicked out of the casino talking like that!

[–] byroon@lemmy.world 5 points 1 year ago

That's just what the casinos want you to think. They don't want you taking their money!

[–] son_named_bort@lemmy.world 24 points 1 year ago

And if you lost 100% of your money last time, then you're due to win 2000% this time.

[–] gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works 12 points 1 year ago (1 children)

simultaneously laughs and sobs in leveraged investments

[–] Blackmist@feddit.uk 4 points 1 year ago

Leveraged "investments".

[–] pipe01@lemmy.pipe01.net 11 points 1 year ago

Why stop at 2000%

[–] Ddhuud@lemmy.world 10 points 1 year ago (1 children)

There's this thing, called debt tho...

[–] v3x@lemm.ee 2 points 1 year ago

not if you gamble for long enough

statistically the longer you gamble, the higher the chance that you'll win and make your money back, it's math bro

There's theoretically no upper limit of how much you can increase your money.

I mean, at a certain point you'll end up devaluating the currency to the point that the economy collapses, but that's a later problem.

[–] ByteWizard@lemm.ee 5 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Lottery and gambling are taxes on emotionally weak people who can't do math.

[–] ladicius@lemmy.world 16 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Lotteries unique selling point is hope.

[–] ScrotusMaximus@lemmy.ninja 6 points 1 year ago

Isn't it telling that our society has to gamble on hope because there is a perception of no other chance?

[–] ByteWizard@lemm.ee -2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Sure, but the hope is a result of the first two issues.

They can't do the math so they think there is a chance. And because they WANT there to be a chance they ignore every time they lose.

[–] ladicius@lemmy.world 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I know you have a point, a good one, Lotteries cater to the vulnerable etc. - but you are wrong in one aspect: There are winners, in every lottery, and that's what fuels the hope.

Even small chances are chances. It's that simple ;)

[–] ByteWizard@lemm.ee 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

When did I say there weren't any winners? I said people think there's a chance that they might win personally. And you can state the gamblers fallacy any way you like, the fact that there are winners in a lottery has nothing to with the chances of winning personally. Bad at math, bad at logic, too emotional, call it anything you like. Any hope is a result of these flaws, not the cause.

https://www.palomar.edu/users/bthompson/Gambler%27s%20Fallacy.html

[–] lightnsfw@reddthat.com 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Probably more likely to turn 20$ into a fortune playing the lottery than most other ways you could invest it.

[–] InfiniWheel@lemmy.one 3 points 1 year ago

Honestly, chances might be extremely low. But if all it takes is a couple of bucks sometimes to maybe win even 1000, I'd take it.

[–] Ddhuud@lemmy.world 1 points 1 year ago

They know, that's their target audience. Desperate people.

[–] Blackmist@feddit.uk 1 points 1 year ago

Ah, my bread and butter… Thrill-seeking rich folk with a poor grasp of statistics and probability.

Manny Calavera, travel agent.

[–] krakenx@lemmy.world 4 points 1 year ago

Don't forget that you lose 3% to inflation every year, and even more when we are in hyper-inflation like we are now.

Gambling in Wall Street's Casino is, by design, the only way to have a chance not to lose money.

That's how you sell monkey pictures my man now let's all go do coke until we get divorced, Leo will be there

[–] CyberCatBytes@kbin.social 3 points 1 year ago