this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2023
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  1. The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders

  2. Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah

  3. Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

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[–] 420stalin69@hexbear.net 8 points 1 year ago

I’ve been doubting a genuine invasion.

They definitely will do raids and they’ll call these an invasions so they can unroll the mission accomplished banner but they won’t even attempt the full scale required to destroy the tunnel networks.

[–] SerLava@hexbear.net 8 points 1 year ago

The other factor is apparently clouds, which is believable. They very much rely on air power

  1. They intend for starvation and disease from drinking unsafe water to destroy the Gazan population, and the bombing campaign and slow ground invasion are meant to destroy communications and routes for supplies to enter while creating a smokescreen that obfuscates this strategy until after it's happened rather than do the bulk of the damage directly

  2. They have a hope that sufficient terror bombing will eventually drive most of Gaza's population to flee to Egypt, making the invasion to destroy those that remain less costly

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