[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 4 points 10 hours ago

His name in the first line of the article. Maybe they assume people read the beyond the title.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 2 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

The ACLU is behind it because there are unintended consequences to getting rid of it.

For example, Florida could pass a law that bans pro-choice advertising from women's rights groups while still allowing ads from anti-abortion groups.

The only reason they can't do that today is that pro-choice organizations have First Amendment rights.

There is a misconception that without CU corporations wouldn't influence elections. But actually without it, politicians could choose which corporations are, or are not, allowed to influence elections.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 12 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

We don't meet 8 of his 13 criteria, so by his "proven method" Republicans will win.

Uh, no. He said Democrats meet 8 of 13 keys, and that's why he thinks Harris will win.

Key 2 – No Primary Contest: With Joe Biden’s endorsement clearing the field for Harris, there are no significant challengers from within the party.

Key 4 – No Third Party: Historically, third parties are detrimental to the White House party. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. would need 5% of the vote to influence this key, with a potential stabilization at 10% deemed unlikely by Lichtman.

Key 5 – Strong Short-Term Economy: No recession has been declared by the National Bureau of Economic Research this year.

Key 6 – Strong Long-Term Economy: Economic growth under Biden has exceeded that of the previous two terms, adjusted for inflation.

Key 7 – Major Policy Change: Biden’s policies mark a significant departure from the Trump administration.

Key 8 – No Social Unrest: Lichtman notes that only massive unrest, akin to the 1960s or Black Lives Matter protests, could impact this key. The current unrest is not considered significant enough.

Key 9 – No Scandal: There has been no bipartisan-recognized corruption scandal involving the president.

Key 13 – Uncharismatic Challenger: Donald Trump is perceived as unappealing to voters across party lines.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 27 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

That wasn't a prediction, he just said Biden had a better chance of winning in 2024 than Harris.

Since that is now an alternate timeline, we will never know if he was right.

Keep in mind that he doesn't try to predict who will poll better, in fact he thinks polls are irrelevant.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 2 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

It's being decided by all the states. Swing states are simply the ones that pollsters can't accurately predict.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 2 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

That's how Americans voted for hundreds of years.

If we're going to change how we do things, let's start with gun ownership. It's WILD that some places will let you just fill out a form and suddenly be able to get a gun.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 7 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago)

The headline is misleading. He isn't literally saying that Democrats can't register to vote. He is saying that the city of Houston can't mail unsolicited voter applications to anyone, Republican or Democrat.

Since Houston has a lot of Democrats, Paxton probably thinks it will hurt Democrats more than Republicans. Then again, Houston city officials might well be using the same reasoning when sending out unsolicited voter applications.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 0 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

Which is the goal the law was supposed to have as well.

If so, it wouldn't be the first time the spirit of a law was broken but not the letter.

Except the US isn't sending weapons to Hungary

Of course they do, Hungary is a NATO power. In fact, those weapons were recently pressured by the Senate.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 0 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

So what you're saying is that the Leahy Law is worthless

It's worthless for the goal you intend.

But imagine the President actually wanted to pressure another country, like maybe Hungary. In that case, it could be very useful.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 0 points 6 days ago

by falsely claiming that there's no credible evidence that he's failed to act on

The law requires him to determine whether a report is credible, and then determine that the responsible parties are being brought to justice.

There are a few reports that he determined were credible, and in each case he determined that the responsible parties were being brought to justice.

So he is complying with the letter of the law, because the law gives no consideration to what anyone else finds credible. And unfortunately there is no mechanism to appeal what he determines, even if the entire rest of the world disagrees.

Or is it that the government is deploying

Leahy Laws give the president extra leverage in foreign policy when they want to use it. In practice, they don't ever bind the president.

[-] FlowVoid@lemmy.world 0 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

I'm not defending his actions. But the law has enough loopholes that he can ignore those mountains and technically comply with the law.

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submitted 3 months ago by FlowVoid@lemmy.world to c/news@lemmy.world

Ending the Gaza war: Three phase proposal

PHASE ONE

  • It would begin with a six-week ceasefire, during which the IDF would withdraw from populated areas of Gaza
  • Hamas would release "a number" of hostages - including women, the elderly and the wounded - in exchange for hundreds of Palestinian prisoners. Some remains of dead Israeli hostages would be returned to their families
  • Palestinian civilians would return to their homes in all areas of Gaza
  • Humanitarian assistance would "surge", with 600 trucks a day entering the strip, and hundreds of thousands of temporary housing units sent by the international community

During that six week period, negotiations mediated by the US and Qatar would continue. If successful, the next part of the plan would begin.

...

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FlowVoid

joined 11 months ago