I see this as a push for Allred more than thinking Harris will win the state.
If enough people make it to the polls, she could win.
Hillary lost by 5% of registered voters (800,000 votes), Biden by 3.5% of registered voters (~630,000 votes).
From what I've seen the first day of early voting (yesterday) was breaking records with over 45,000 votes cast in Travis County (Austin, TX) and Dallas cast over 55,000 votes. We just need the momentum to continue.
I voted yesterday in a packed blue district. It was crowded, which is good, but there was a notable absence of young voters, which is bad. Hopefully, this just means that experienced voters are more likely to vote on the first day of early voting and first time voters can be convinced to go to the polls before or on election day.
It's also a school day, so they may have been in class. At least that's what I'm hoping. Most, of not all, of my polling places are open 7AM-7PM this Saturday and 11AM-5PM this Sunday. I imagine the younger voters will be more able to vote then between college classes and jobs.
The first week of voting also has shorter hours (at least 9 hours required by law) versus the second week with polls open at least 12 hours a day. Those longer hours are going to be more compatible with those holding multiple jobs or school/job.
young voters are probably checking Google maps to see when is a good time to avoid the line
I have a tough time imagining left-leaning voters would vote for Allred and not Harris, so that would require right-leaning voters casting votes for Trump but not Cruz. And I can't envision that being a common enough scenario to split the state-wide vote like that.
Do not underestimate how much some people (even in Texas) hate Ted Cruz. I can totally see a ticket split there.
I mean, if Beto "Psychedelic Warlord" O'Rourke can almost win there after threatening to grab everyone's guns, then there must be a lot of people looking for any alternative to Cruz.
Except Beto never mentioned the gun buyback program or AR-15s or anything about guns until 2019 - the year AFTER he lost to Cruz.
I am in Texas, and I do hate Ted Cruz. But in 2020 we saw Trump underperform down-ballot races. We would have to see him outperform them this year and we now have the fallout from Dobbs motivating voters in favor of Harris. What issues would make someone vote for Trump and not Cruz?
A lot of Trump voters vote for Trump and then leave the rest of the ballot blank. My ballot was 74 pages and Texas eliminated party line voting.
... Your ballot was 74 pages? How? My city makes a big deal when we have to use the back of the 1 sheet of 11x18 paper. Granted we have off year elections in our state, so things are a little more divided, but that's a long way from a 74 page short story of a ballot
But Trump underperformed down-ballot in 2020. People showed up to vote for all the other Republicans but then not for him.
To me, this says they're seeing lots of data suggesting that we're already winning this election.
I hope you're right, but in 2016, Clinton thought the toss up and lean blue states were safe and chose to pile resources into lean red/safe red states like Missouri, Texas, and Indiana. Admittedly, the political landscape of 2024 is different. AZ was also targeted by Clinton and the rapid push left in Texas has them worried enough to pass laws to invalidate blue district votes. But still, I hope you're right and this isn't a huge gamble.
Indiana?!
Whoever suggested that she go spend time in a solid red state where the opposing VP was from needs to be tarred and feathered.
But that doesn't mean we can rest on our laurels, of course.
If you can, volunteer or donate for the Harris campaign, and definitely vote!
Don’t rest on your laurels or sit on your yanny, get out and vote!
And dress blue!
At the very least that texas senate is seriously winnable and they feel reasonably confident of other states
Still make sure to get out there and vote and volunteer. If it's a lose, make it a win. If it's a close win, make it a big one. If it's a big win, make it a landslide
Register to vote if you haven't. Deadlines are quickly passing in many states
Volunteer for Dems and for Harris nearby in person or online
Or, they suspect ratfuckery in more than a few states and want to make sure they don't ignore TX, because if they can shift it for Harris then it won't matter how much GA is ratfucked.
Can't help but think of how Bush Jr spent his last week campaign in California, back in Oct of 2000.
The Republican obsession with winning back California and the Democrat obsession with winning back Texas... The ghosts of Reagan and LBJ hoover over these parties eternally.
She focus on those swing states unfortunately. Hillary didn't and she lost
She just needs to surrogate another unpopular Republican like Liz Cheney, I'm sure that will win over more Republican voters 🤮
To MAGAs she's terrible and nothing will change that
To progressives she has massive policy differences, but at least she is aligned with us on basic democracy - something that should be a basic thing but isn't. What's she going to do, get progressives to vote for Trump?
To people who still cling to the thought of "your father's Republican party" - those who hoped Nikki Haley could somehow get Trump off the ticket early because they know he's an idiot/traitor - they could use that person to convey the message that yes, this is a Democrat but yes, you can and should vote for her because Trump is fucking bonkers and in no way represents the party you are clinging to in your head right now.
If people like Liz Cheney can get people to vote for Kamala Harris over Donald Trump, I'm all for it.
I suspect Cheney is a toxic brand though. Over at the new blueprint polls, people for some reason trust Trump over Kamala in the category of election integrity. Adding Cheney to the crew might hurt as much as it helps.
IMO, those who know who Liz Cheney enough to think her brand is toxic know her well enough to know what's happened in the last 4 years and why that would put her in that position. And that "why" is much more important than "who"
There are more people that don't know Liz Cheney but will recognize her last name than those who understand what was done to her. Those people are primed for Trump's argument that Kamala represents a corrupt establishment.
That's a waste of time... Get back to Michigan!
She is going to Michigan literally the day after the Texas visit.
Where she will be joined, for the first time, by Michelle Obama.
@TexasDrunk@lemmy.world Go meet her and lemme know what she's like!
I can't swing it or I totally would. I've got work then I've got to load up for a gig that was booked weeks ago. I've already voted for her and Allred.
If I could I'd show up in what I'm wearing to the gig. It's somewhere between "I got lost in 90s grunge" and "my cousin fixes cars under a shade tree and I ain't got no learnin". It's very popular with the shoeless drunks I play for.
What instrument do you play? I'm hoping the answer is vibraphone or pipe organ
I play the triangle in an 18 piece band. We mostly do covers using tea kettles filled to different levels of punk songs that are themselves covers of pop songs. Think "A Very Merry Unbirthday" meets Me First and the Gimme Gimmes. Plus a triangle.
I can't tell if you're joking or not. I feel you're usually more careful about doxxing yourself, so I'm gonna mean more towards joking because that seems too niche to conceal your identity.
Unfortunately, or fortunately, this actually sounds like a legit concept.
Definitely a joke. This Friday I'm sitting in as bass player for a psychobilly band. Their regular bass player is in your neighborhood this weekend.
Oh, they'll probably wanna leave my neighborhood, we had another nearby shooting recently
I'll make sure he's aware. If you see a 6'5" tattooed and pierced bald guy in a gas station attendant shirt with some metal band patch looking lost and goofy tell him that a drunk already warned him he wants to be in a different neighborhood.
*weeks
Aren't weeks made up of days?
no, they are made of stars
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