this post was submitted on 22 Oct 2024
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electoralism

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I miss beltway garage

Trump odds up to 60%

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[–] Vampire@hexbear.net 62 points 3 weeks ago (3 children)

The graph portrays 48.4 about 70% taller than 47.3

[–] propter_hog@hexbear.net 46 points 3 weeks ago

Yeah, it's disingenuous at least to fuck with the y axis like this

[–] CarbonScored@hexbear.net 37 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

1 percent is also assuredly in the margin of error. There's no way this is a significant difference.

[–] knightly@hexbear.net 2 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

It's a betting market not a poll, there isn't any "margin of error". This doesn't tell you who would win, it tells you what the website's users are willing to bet on.

[–] CarbonScored@hexbear.net 1 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

In the post body, yes. But is the post image not poll results?

[–] knightly@hexbear.net 1 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Dunno, it isn't labeled or sourced.

[–] CarbonScored@hexbear.net 1 points 3 weeks ago

Well, OP calls it "swing state polling", to be fair :)

[–] Assian_Candor@hexbear.net 18 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Take it up with the RCP people

[–] WIIHAPPYFEW@hexbear.net 7 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

yeah rcp's been going through a not-so-sneaky rightwards shift for a while lol

[–] Assian_Candor@hexbear.net 1 points 3 weeks ago (1 children)

Like the actual platform or this data set in particular

[–] WIIHAPPYFEW@hexbear.net 2 points 3 weeks ago

Both- they’ve been putting more conservative think pieces on their news article section than they used to, and they also prioritize pollsters like Trafalgar and Rasmussen, which are run by qanon-lite guys