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this post was submitted on 05 Nov 2024
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The Dredge Tank
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Can someone explain to me why the hell he’s ever needed a monte-carlo analysis? The margin of error is gaussian, and it’s not like it’s running up against zero bounds when it’s 50/50, so why isn’t it just a linear equation?
It’s just a linear equation, right? He does a monte-carlo so he can brag about running 80,000 simulations, not for any good reason, right?
All of those words are ones that the bazinga brains don't know.
I presume he is running a monte carlo analysis to account for the electoral college, which makes the equations non-linear.