this post was submitted on 26 Nov 2024
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I think this question assumes the Cuban people don't understand the role the US plays in their problems-- the people who had both weathered the 90s special period and the relative success they had when the US eased up on its blockade, one or both occurring within most of the countries lifetime. Cuba already defeated a coup attempt 1-2 years ago that had taken decades to foment, so I think despite the fact that things are not looking great in Cuba right now, the idea that they would fold is a neoliberal fantasy. They know who their tormentors are and they can see the historical example of what happens to a people when they cave to the west.
Given that this was exactly the case for dozens of millions in East Europe and Asia i wouldn't rule that out. Though Cuba do indeed seem to be more resilient to that.