this post was submitted on 26 Nov 2024
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Anything could happen but I think despite pressure things have generally been improving. There's a much larger bloc they can work with. No color revolution has succeeded so far.
I also don't exclude the possibly of a US president in at some point, maybe a decade or so deciding to do something insane like an outright invasion in the mold of the Iraq War.
But that would be an absurdly bad idea for the USA. They'd win early on, but then have a metastasizing insurgency right on their doorstop. US troops dying in occupying Cuba, but also coordinated violence and "terrorist" attacks spilling to Haita, Dominican Republic, Puerto Rico and even Florida.