this post was submitted on 14 Oct 2023
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politics

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  1. The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders

  2. Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah

  3. Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

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[–] Frank@hexbear.net 51 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yeah. Fascism is in effect. They're not necessarily making rational decisions and can't necessarily assess the strengths and weaknesses of the enemy. The rhetoric is gneocide - At least some Israelis in high places want to exterminate the Palestinians or drive them out of Gaza entirely. Plus, as others have mentioned, Bibi fucked up and might launch an invasion for political reasons.

[–] Catradora_Stalinism@hexbear.net 36 points 1 year ago (2 children)

similar to the invasion of the USSR by the Nazis. It was a stupid move in all metrics, but the fascism made it impossible to take any other course of action.

[–] ElChapoDeChapo@hexbear.net 11 points 1 year ago (1 children)

May this end like Stalingrad, with the fascists losing inshallah

[–] ShimmeringKoi@hexbear.net 6 points 1 year ago

"I have to, he wrote me this way."

-Mouth of Madness