130
Wargames show the US could burn through its ammo in 'as few as 3 to 4 weeks' in a war with China, commission warns
(www.businessinsider.com)
this post was submitted on 30 Jul 2024
130 points (98.5% liked)
news
23555 readers
719 users here now
Welcome to c/news! Please read the Hexbear Code of Conduct and remember... we're all comrades here.
Rules:
-- PLEASE KEEP POST TITLES INFORMATIVE --
-- Overly editorialized titles, particularly if they link to opinion pieces, may get your post removed. --
-- All posts must include a link to their source. Screenshots are fine IF you include the link in the post body. --
-- If you are citing a twitter post as news please include not just the twitter.com in your links but also nitter.net (or another Nitter instance). There is also a Firefox extension that can redirect Twitter links to a Nitter instance: https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/libredirect/ or archive them as you would any other reactionary source using e.g. https://archive.today/ . Twitter screenshots still need to be sourced or they will be removed --
-- Mass tagging comm moderators across multiple posts like a broken markov chain bot will result in a comm ban--
-- Repeated consecutive posting of reactionary sources, fake news, misleading / outdated news, false alarms over ghoul deaths, and/or shitposts will result in a comm ban.--
-- Neglecting to use content warnings or NSFW when dealing with disturbing content will be removed until in compliance. Users who are consecutively reported due to failing to use content warnings or NSFW tags when commenting on or posting disturbing content will result in the user being banned. --
-- Using April 1st as an excuse to post fake headlines, like the resurrection of Kissinger while he is still fortunately dead, will result in the poster being thrown in the gamer gulag and be sentenced to play and beat trashy mobile games like 'Raid: Shadow Legends' in order to be rehabilitated back into general society. --
founded 4 years ago
MODERATORS
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
view the rest of the comments
Does it matter? In a peer on peer fight America would push the nuke button so readily.
I think that even US oligarchs would rather rule over what remains of their empire than spend the rest of their days living like rats in a bunker. Pushing the nuclear button is a no win scenario.
Not saying a nuclear exchange is impossible, but I have seen nuclear scientists discuss just how (relatively) little nuclear weapons going off could really fuck up the planet.
About 100 bombs the size of the one dropped on Hiroshima (relatively tiny, basically a tactical nuke today) going off in cities could potentially fuck up the climate of an area the size of a continent for several years.
If the US and Russia launched about 5% of their arsenal at each other, that’s enough to potentially end most human life on earth.
When two nuclear powers go to war, once they start launching the nukes there is no off-ramp, no real way to de-escalate.
Long way of saying I agree, the oligarchs of the US have to know what a war with China would actually bring. And like you said, better to rule in a diminished US than die the same death as the proles they hate.
Indeed, I think the real danger is that US might start a conventional war with China thinking they could win, and then when things inevitably start going south, there's a lot of potential for stupid shit to happen. RAND actually published a study on a conventional war with China, and this is the level of insanity we're dealing with https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1140.html
Jfc you weren't kidding, these people are actually detached from reality. Amerikkkans really can't comprehend the reality of war since they haven't actually experienced it as a population since the civil war. 100% the war would start with America attacking, getting a bloody nose, losing a carrier or two, and launching nukes at China.
Indeed, it's just absolutely surreal stuff.
And even the civil war was very restrained to the population compared to what USA always did to others.
The next question is whether the oligarchs can prevent the True Believers from taking over and deciding to nuke their way to Kingdom Come
Indeed, and that's the really scary part of all this.
You assume that they are rational actors, when there is ample evidence they are not
unfortunately, what we're seeing in Ukraine does indeed show that there might not be much rationality at play
I am absolutely sure once carrier groups start going down America would panic. I think they might even make the calculus that a limited nuclear strike would not be enough to provoke a full nuclear response, especially if they think China would be reticent to start a full nuclear war for humanitarian reasons.
that's basically what the RAND paper I linked below argues as well
Yeah if you analyse the USA as you would a child you come to the same answer.
When me and my sibling were very young, I was older and hence bigger and ostensibly more mature than my younger sibling. If my younger sibling wasn’t getting their own way they’d worked out they could punch me in a non-sensitive location (shoulder, thigh etc) and I wouldn’t be able to respond other than verbally as mom would be angry at me.
I feel like the USA would be the same as my younger sibling, in the case of not getting their own way, they would go nuclear, but rather than trying to nuke Beijing and the rest, it would try to do a limited number of strikes on maybe a key port with a large Chinese naval presence, power or fuel or ammunition manufacturing etc to level the score. Then they would hope that after this limited strike, their opponents would be forced to show restraint, much like me and my sibling with the threat of mom being mad, but for America and China the threat of ‘mom’ would literally be M.A.D.
accurate
I am like 30% sure we haven't maintained our nukes properly and they haven't really worked for decades
They say this avout russia too. I rather not find out.
Both countries have lately engage in extensive maintenance and modernisation projects for their nukes, but difference is that in Russia both military and arms industry are accountable.
Pretty sure that's just projection.
That would be hilarious, and also SHOULD be what happens, in order for life to continue on Earth