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[-] Snowclone@lemmy.world 10 points 4 days ago

I was saying that before he dropped, I was wrong, you were right. Brilliant even. This has been not only the right move, but a huge shot in the arm for voter turnout and engagement. We would have lost this if everyone listened to me. I'll be more open minded going forward. Thank you.

[-] spujb@lemmy.cafe 1 points 2 days ago

thank you, it’s good to be heard and acknowledged for once :)

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[-] ech@lemm.ee 88 points 5 days ago

Harris' takeover has been an an absolute success, but anyone claiming they knew it'd work out this way is lying or delusional. Just because we hit the low percentage chance that it all worked out doesn't mean people were wrong for thinking it was most likely a bad idea because all available history and information basically assured that it was.

That said, anyone that got vitriolic about it (on either side, tbf) can get bent. This is all uncharted waters right now. Being a dick about it either way isn't helping anything. Let's not pretend to know that anything is certain.

[-] makyo@lemmy.world 38 points 5 days ago

Yeah let's maybe hold off on the victory laps until after the election. This thing is on a knife's edge still and we got a lot of work to do still to get her over the line.

[-] FuglyDuck@lemmy.world 9 points 5 days ago

Still a knife edge, but there’s more space on this knife edge.

Though that debate performance. …. She was always going to eviscerate him… but she did it with style….

[-] FuglyDuck@lemmy.world 18 points 5 days ago

I knew that Harris would be a better candidate than Biden.

You’d have to be proverbially blind to not have seen it.

Did I know it would be this wildly successful? Not so much. I knew it could be, and I knew Harris would be better than Biden.

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[-] lennybird@lemmy.world 18 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

I was going to bet a large amount of cash that Biden would lose. We hit rock bottom and all data proved Biden was at best at Jimmy Carter's level of performance with added baggage like age-related risk. I said then and say now that anyone would be better. Whether that was Harris or whether that was by an open convention -- which itself could've been exciting and similarly sucked away all attention from Trump -- either way.

At the end of the day all the data convinced not just me but countless Democratic representatives and eventually Biden's own campaign staff and advisors. Thank fuck he did the obviously right thing.

What I got wrong: I didn't believe Harris would work out this well, and in fact I was hoping for Whitmer among others if I'm honest... But I'm happily proven wrong.

I was also wrong about the VP pick. I wanted Kelly but Walz is the whole package.

[-] balderdash9@lemmy.zip 8 points 5 days ago

This is what I don't get. Everyone here had the sentiment of "we will vote for anyone who is not Donald Trump". But then they balked at the suggestion that Biden should drop out and insisted that no one could replace him.

Now that Biden has been replaced.... they're saying Biden being replaced was a low percentage gamble. Something here doesn't add up.

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[-] Korne127@lemmy.world 11 points 5 days ago

because all available history and information basically assured that it was

That's actually just not true. It's pretty interesting, but the main reason incumbents have such a high chance of re-election is because exactly this happened with most incumbents that had a low chance already: They got cut out by the party. So there has always been natural cherry-picking that only the "good" incumbents went on to actually be the nominee again (and therefore had a disproportionally high rate of winning).

Although I originally also thought otherwise, when looking at all the data, this was the rational & correct choice.

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[-] spujb@lemmy.cafe 8 points 5 days ago

womp womp i knew it. something about having a cadaver up on stage just spoke to me…

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[-] RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world 24 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

I was definitely in the camp of “Biden shouldn’t drop out” not because I wanted Biden to be President, but mostly because the people who wanted him to drop out just kinda hand waved away what happened after he dropped out.

They tossed about a few names that they favored and Harris wasn’t really on that list. People gave her a pass or offered some soft criticism, but she wasn’t on people’s short list.

While I’m very glad that Harris has really shone, I think that surprised a lot of people, there was still the opportunity for the DNC to fuck everything up and put together a ticket that would have been underwhelming. Luckily that didn’t happen.

I think this is an incredibly lucky “I told ya so”, the gamble worked out, but IMO it could have gone the other way far too easily.

[-] spujb@lemmy.cafe 1 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

wish i got this well thought out and measured of a response 4 months ago. instead it was me getting called. “russian bot” “useful idiot” “MAGA troll” 🤷‍♀️🤷‍♀️🤷‍♀️ me being “lucky” or not, did not justify that level of toxicity. thanks for this post tho

[-] ysjet@lemmy.world 7 points 4 days ago* (last edited 4 days ago)

Yeah, this is the correct take here. Trying to pretend that this was the plan all along is disingenuous. There was no plan other than 'Biden bad'.

The fact that Kamala Harris has clutched momentum and has good odds came out of literally nowhere, as did Harris herself.

It also can't be ignored that the 'Biden bad' message was being pushed hard artificially by billionaires and Russia, which didn't exactly fill a lot of Democrats with hope that it was a realistic option.

We lucked out.

[-] spujb@lemmy.cafe 0 points 2 days ago* (last edited 2 days ago)

we did not luck out and the plan was not “biden bad.”

the plan was “biden is increasingly showing age and is actively losing an election that should be easy to win. polling shows that any other generic nominee does better than joseph robinette biden, so the logical next step is to replace him with his vice president.”

the trouble is we said that, and you didn’t listen. i was actively scoffed at and called a nazi for saying the above. poll data that showed proof of the above was downvoted and called manipulation. even when the donors started stepping down, it was still called fraudulent and irrelevant. i never hand waved someone asking me who replaces biden, and i always responded harris especially as the time got later. and again i was downvoted and scoffed at for that.

this was not luck, and you should start actively listening to people you disagree with more because you display some saddening signs of intentional ignorance here.

[-] CluelessLemmyng@lemmy.sdf.org 16 points 5 days ago

Thank you. I was in the same boat. Did I want Biden President again? Not really. But there were no alternatives at the time and I thought that Harris wasn't exactly getting the recognition when people wanted to just drop Biden.

I'm glad I'm wrong about staying with Biden. I'm happier that Harris has taken up the mantle. I just hope that it's enough to drive turnout.

[-] ThatWeirdGuy1001@lemmy.world 26 points 5 days ago

I'll take the L.

I legitimately thought there'd be no way for them to be able to campaign enough in just a few months and I'll gladly admit I was wrong.

[-] spujb@lemmy.cafe 7 points 5 days ago

sorry for the L, but i think we’re both glad you’re taking it :)

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[-] Iheartcheese@lemmy.world 51 points 5 days ago

Raise your hand if you were called a Russian bot for daring to question Biden

[-] jaybone@lemmy.world 16 points 5 days ago

I guess the Russian bots are downvoting you.

I got so much shit on Lemmy for saying Biden should drop after his debate. Was literally called a Russian bot multiple times.

[-] wesker@lemmy.sdf.org 20 points 5 days ago

There's still plenty of time for you to become a Russian bot. Never give up on your dreams!

[-] Coach@lemmy.world 12 points 5 days ago

🙋‍♂️

[-] spujb@lemmy.cafe 7 points 5 days ago

my hand fucking shattered against the ceiling after reading this comment

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[-] Katana314@lemmy.world 28 points 5 days ago

Yeah, I admit, that was me. I think the rapid political cycle in news made me think the election was closer than it was.

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[-] disguy_ovahea@lemmy.world 41 points 5 days ago

I’ve already apologized here, but I’ll do it again. I’m sorry. I was wrong. I didn’t think there was enough time to generate the support needed. I’m really impressed by Kamala’s campaign effectiveness.

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[-] Ioughttamow@fedia.io 28 points 5 days ago

I was wrong, and happy to be so now.

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[-] Krauerking@lemy.lol 14 points 5 days ago

I actually had someone go back to one of my comment chains explaining that we needed to push Biden to drop and apologize for their negativity and hostility towards the notion.

I think that is an absolute rarity of self awareness from anyone and I'll take the win of knowing there is at least 1 person out there that walked away with a change positive mindset.

....Wish it was more... But taking the win.

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[-] Lucidlethargy@sh.itjust.works 13 points 5 days ago

Yeah, I also was very vocal about this. The democrats that attacked this idea were fucking mean about it.

[-] Krauerking@lemy.lol 7 points 5 days ago

Absolutely grossly cruel about their disdain to anyone disagreeing and now just fully onboard without so much as a glance back at the wake of abuse left.

Honestly the Democrats can be exactly the same kind of bullies for like minded party thinking as the Republicans its just their shit apparently doesn't stink quite as much to have to take notice of it.

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[-] sunshine@lemmy.ml 17 points 4 days ago

Kamala Harris hasn't won, no. But I think she's already achieved enough momentum that if she loses, it will be safe to say that Joe Biden would have also lost.

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[-] GraniteM@lemmy.world 10 points 5 days ago

My feeling right after the Biden-Trump debate was pretty much the same as my feeling after the Harris-Trump debate: I do not understand what the American electorate wants, and I can't predict their behavior. I was horrified by Biden's performance, but I couldn't say if that would matter. I was really pleased with Harris' performance, and I'm glad that it seems to be pushing things in the right direction, but by Odin's beard I cannot fathom how Trump could have a political career at all, let alone what it will take to really change the minds of anyone who is still undecided at this point. I'll take what I can get, but I can't predict the mental workings of undecided voters in Arizona, Georgia, or Wisconsin.

[-] callouscomic@lemm.ee 9 points 5 days ago* (last edited 5 days ago)

drop .... out? drop dead? drop trow? drop a new single?

DROP WHAT????

[-] Notyou@sopuli.xyz 11 points 5 days ago

Drop that ass and let that booty shake. Let's go Joe!

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[-] drdiddlybadger@pawb.social 6 points 5 days ago

Anyone who said Biden should drop was right as fuck. I was doubtful that it would work out for Kamala due to how racist people can be but it's going so well so far.

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this post was submitted on 13 Sep 2024
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