this post was submitted on 30 Mar 2024
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What do you think?

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[–] Landmammals@lemmy.world 53 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

They don't care. Reddit is turning into an AI wasteland. Human visitors will either be entertained by AI generated content, or training the AI model.

[–] lvxferre@mander.xyz 30 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I think that it'll be gradually killed, over a period of two years.

A few key events that I predict:

The code for the old interface will stop being maintained, with shareholders babbling something like optimisation of working hours. Engineers explicitly hired to maintain that interface will get fired, if they weren't already.

Once some bug appears in some feature of the old interface, the feature will be simply removed, in the dirtiest way, causing even more bugs. Recursively.

Mod tools will be removed from the old interface regardless of bugs, under some bullshit claim like "think on the children!".

Links to old.reddit will be automatically redirected towards the new interface. You can only choose the old interface in the settings. This effectively prevents people not logged into Reddit from using the old interface.

Reddit popularity drops, and alongside it the ad revenue. Shareholders are fuming, and looking for the next "bright" idea to counter the drop in ad revenue. It'll be to rework the new interface again, so it's filled with even more ads. They'll see a short spike in ad revenue, justifying the move... followed by a sharp drop.

Analysis on what caused that sharp drop on ad revenue shows that the usage of the old interface actually increased. Shareholders will be fuming, and demand that the old interface should be killed. And thus shall it be.

[–] jol@discuss.tchncs.de 11 points 7 months ago (1 children)

This, except reddit popularity droping.

Reddit is mainstream now. The reason they will kill old reddit is because they can. You have to understand that reddit has outgrown its initial audiance. In fact, us leaving is probably saving reddit money because we didnt consume ads. Kids these days use reddit through the main app and are used to consuming tons of ads in all their social apps.

Redsit will "die" in spirit but I'm 100% it won't go away. The way Lemmy keeps predicting.

[–] lvxferre@mander.xyz 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

You don't need popularity dropping at the start, as long as advertisement revenue drops. It could be due to an increase of usage of ad blockers, or lower prices per ad. Or even shareholders "feeling" that they aren't getting enough profits.

That said, I do believe that Reddit will become less popular in the near future (1~2y from now). It'll roughly follow the same path as Twitter, but faster - because unlike Twitter, Reddit doesn't revolve around a few key individuals that anchor the others; it revolves around the content, even for the "lol lmao" phoneposting kids.

[–] jol@discuss.tchncs.de 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

But that's the thing. The new users arr mostly kids on their phones. Most users now browser reddit through the official app. So almost no one is blocking ads. It doesnt even matter if the content is trash or reposts or bots. People love that. That sort of content is immensely successful on other sites like instagram. Reddit will just become another content farm with no soul that prints money.

[–] lvxferre@mander.xyz 1 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

As a content farm Reddit is outcompeted. Reddit's differential used to be the content quality, brought by another demographic than those kids. But once that demographic is gone, so is the differential, thus the other demographic.

(Or: why would I bother with the reddit app if the IG app shows the same thing, but more?)

[–] jol@discuss.tchncs.de 1 points 7 months ago

I guess ghe categorisation of the content is still a unique point.

[–] AlecSadler@sh.itjust.works 27 points 7 months ago (3 children)

It's already dead for me. It used to be the only way I could access random reddit links with my VPN, now it too gives that stupid rejection page.

So, reddit was dead to me, but now it's extra dead to me because I'm not disabling my VPN just to view some link. If friends send me a reddit link, I'll just ask for a screenshot.

[–] brbposting@sh.itjust.works 12 points 7 months ago (2 children)

Instead of replacing the www with old, you can replace the www. with “safe”.

SafeReddit.com (easiest LibReddit/RedLib mirror to ‘member). While it lasts :-/ (see: Invidious getting hit by limits today, Instagram being hardcore anti-Bibliogram…)

[–] SupraMario@lemmy.world 6 points 7 months ago

This doesn't look like old reddit though, I guess it works in a pinch, but old reddit was great because it didn't load cards and was just links.

[–] greencactus@lemmy.world 2 points 7 months ago

I haven't heard of it! Thanks for the suggestion! :)

[–] squid_slime@lemmy.world 5 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

on browser you could use libredirect or on android theres geddit these both are front ends like invidious is to youtube

[–] Hobbes_Dent@lemmy.world 27 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I think it’s likely to stick around, but my hot take is a future TikTok purchase of Reddit.

[–] ThePowerOfGeek@lemmy.world 18 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago)

Ooh shit, this is a good take! Tiktok needs to change ownership to an American company. I could see them using Reddit as a kind of masquerade ~~it~~ or shell company, where they put all the legal and geographical ownership under the Reddit name, but really all the decisions (for both platforms) are being made by the TikTok owners.

[–] j4k3@lemmy.world 25 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Has spaz sold it all and disappeared yet? I figured it was a stage coach robbery situation. Reddit died June 10th according to my whitelist firewall. The microbes don't die at the same time as the cadaver, but the survivors move on to a new host fast.

[–] roscoe@lemmy.dbzer0.com 6 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Are his shares restricted? The way I understand it, usually insiders aren't allowed to sell until some time after the IPO.

[–] haui_lemmy@lemmy.giftedmc.com 4 points 7 months ago (1 children)

He already sold over 500.000 shares, same as his CFO iirc. Classic pump and dump. Reddit is 25% down, below initial value. From an article I read today.

[–] dubyakay@lemmy.ca 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

He still kept majority of his shares. Like the previous poster said he can't sell more or SEC will grab him by his tiny balls.

[–] haui_lemmy@lemmy.giftedmc.com 1 points 7 months ago (1 children)

Jeez. I thought insiders werent allowed to sell at all for x amount of time.

[–] John_McMurray@lemmy.world 2 points 7 months ago (1 children)

They aren't. But, you can set a number to sell at the IPO. You can't dump the rest a week later if the price sky rockets.

[–] haui_lemmy@lemmy.giftedmc.com 1 points 7 months ago

Interesting! Thanks for mentioning it.

[–] Crismus@lemmy.world 23 points 7 months ago

6 months. First login only access then gone.

[–] Yaztromo@lemmy.world 21 points 7 months ago (1 children)

I feel like they’re not going to outright kill it, but quill instead let it wither on the vine; aka die the death of a thousands cuts.

There will likely be more new functionality that won’t be backported. Things that work okay now will stop functioning correctly. They’ll just stop maintenance and wait for everyone to leave — when it does get shut down, it will happen with a whimper rather than a bang.

[–] po-lina-ergi@kbin.social 9 points 7 months ago

The last new functionality that Reddit added that was actually good was subreddits.

[–] Alatarius@lemmynsfw.com 14 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (3 children)

I saw a post earlier today where someone tried to access old reddit and got a screen that said they need an account to access it.

Don't know how real this is but I found the post.

https://lemmy.world/post/13696560

[–] Forester@yiffit.net 16 points 7 months ago* (last edited 7 months ago) (1 children)

If you use a VPN and are not signed in it's blocked because God forbid somebody try to access it and maybe possibly could scrape it.

[–] Alatarius@lemmynsfw.com 2 points 7 months ago

Oh no! The horror of THAT! /s

[–] Alatarius@lemmynsfw.com 2 points 7 months ago

Seems ot might have been just a One-Off thing then

[–] Appoxo@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 7 months ago

German user here
Right now on Firefox mobile I could access old.reddit.com in an incognito tab. Could also load posts and access comments.

[–] superduperpirate@lemmy.world 12 points 7 months ago

I’m guessing by this time next year it’s gone.

[–] gedaliyah@lemmy.world 12 points 7 months ago

I'd put the over/under at 8 months.

[–] edisondotme@monero.town 11 points 7 months ago

What about the Reddit Tor site?

[–] Frog-Brawler@kbin.social 3 points 7 months ago