this post was submitted on 10 Mar 2025
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Image is from Wikipedia's article on the war..


I've wanted to cover Myanmar for a while now but haven't had the needed knowledge to write much more than "This situation really sucks." After doing a little reading on the situation, I feel even more confused. A decent analogy is the Syrian Civil War, at least while Assad was in power (though it's still pretty true today) - many different opposition groups, some co-operating with the United States, others not. The main government supported partially by an anti-American superpower, but who could live with that government collapsing if there are deals to be made with the group coming into power. A conflict kept going and exploited at least partially by the United States and other imperial core powers, though with plenty of genuine domestic animosity and desires for political independence.

Recently, the Myanmar government - the mainstream media uses "junta", which is probably accurate despite the connotations - has promised elections at the end of 2025. This doesn't seem likely to happen, and even if it did, how this would work in a country as war-torn as Myanmar is unclear. The government is losing territory and soldiers at a quick pace; they now hold only 21% of the country, though that 21% does at least comprise many of the cities. It's difficult to get a handle on the number of people affected because civil wars and insurgencies have been ongoing in some shape or form for decades, but we're talking at least millions displaced and thousands of civilians killed.

Here's a comment by @TheGenderWitch@hexbear.net from fairly recently that covers the situation in Myanmar:

comment

The military government of Myanmar is losing to the Rebel Groups, and badly. https://www.voanews.com/a/myanmar-s-rebels-closing-in-around-junta-into-fifth-year-of-civil-war-/7958145.html

somethings really afoot though, news about myanmar from western outlets and channels have suddenly all remembered myanmar exists and written quite a lot about them in the last few days. Its suspicious, it could be capitalists trying to signal their want for US involvement in the civil war. It could also be a targeted propaganda campaign already pre planned in order to make sure people are clued into the conflict.

I think this seems to be another Assad situation. The Military government is pretty unpopular domestically and is losing quite a bit of ground. I would be surprised if they lasted to 2027. Supplied by both Russia and China, theyve been able to keep some flow of weapons, but are suffering a lot from manpower issues. Conscription has been enacted, but conscripts are a poor replacement for trained soldiers. According to reports, they only hold about 21% of the land and are losing lots of territory. They also have extended their emergency rule for another 6 months, throwing doubt on the ability to follow through with their 2025 election. They've lost large amounts of territory, thousands of soldiers, and 2 regional commands. They're not dead yet though, as they have some ability to retake some territory and win some battles, but again 21%. Rebels currently are making steady progress towards the second largest city in the country.

while I don't like the rebels, they are western aligned, they have popular support and are allied to many of Myanmar's ethnic minority defence groups. Im wondering who really has the power in this situation though, since many of the gains seem to be made by the Ethnic armies, not the NUG. This revolutionary energy could be fueled to establish a socialist federation, but won't, and the popular revolutionary energy is fueled toward the NUG. It'll probably be another pro-west bourgeoisie democracy. It will probably then turn against the ethnic rebels and we'll end up basically where myanmar was pre coup. Probably will have a strong military influence on politics as well, since the rebel forces seem to be made up of officers and very little political groups. By then, people will be extremely tired of war and more likely to accept any conflict resolution than another civil war. In the midst of "It Happened" stands a stronger, unmovable "nothing ever happens". Would be neat if the Communist Party of Burma could somehow come out on top, but they have only around 1000 soldiers and don't control a large amount of territory.

China's interests in the region are still secure, but siding with the Junta is a bad idea, one I understand though. China doesn't want a western aligned power to take over a china aligned state, and is trying to make sure their economic investments in the area are protected and their mineral income is continued. They have deep ties with many Ethnic Minority states, especially on their border, and the NUG forces, mostly again to protect infrastructure investments and keep the minerals flowing. They might flip back to the NUG as the Junta starts collapsing over the next year or so, especially since the new US administration seems to be really cutting back on foreign aid. The General in charge of the rebel government forces complained quite a bit about how much aid ukraine got and how much he wanted that aid. He was basically begging for anti aircraft systems "like in ukraine" lol. China could definitely swoop in and back the rebels, which while hurting their reputation, is probably the best move long term. China's only interest is to keep Myanmar from being pro-west, keep control of Myanmar's mineral flow, and protect other investments in the area.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (8 children)

When your brain only sees tariffs. He’s become addicted to it. Somebody needs to stop him.

[–] newmou@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Sacre bleu!

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[–] Awoo@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

So yesterday Starmer announced they're scrapping NHS England and the UK soft-left is basically eating it up with an optimistic "oh it was started by the tories so it was bad, this could possibly lead to even worse things".

...It's going to government for now but it won't stay there, the role it played will be fucking outsourced to some american ai company or some shit.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/cx29lrl826rt

We're so fucking fucked. Beyond fucked. Our left is dumb as shit. They're naive credulous morons.

[–] WeedReference420@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Between this and his "playing a blinder" over Ukraine (which as far as I know is just doing what Trump wanted him to) the soft left's sudden toxic copium about Starmer is maddening

[–] Hexboare@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

The structure of NHS England (NHS Commissioning Board) would have been more amenable to privatisation

But if you want to chop it up into smaller bits before privatisation you'd centralise first

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (2 children)

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent: 'On a scale of zero to ten, the Biden administration's sanctions on Russia were probably a three; on the way out the door, they took them to a six. And I can tell you, we wouldn't hesitate to take them up to a ten.'

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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

These people are fucking delusional lol

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[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)
[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

The land area Israel now occupies in Syria is larger than the land it occupied in Gaza, the West Bank, and Lebanon combined. The area is not fully under control of the IDF, but this area Israel has announced it will not allow any Syrian forces to deploy inside.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Trump Administration launches CBP Home, a new “self-deportation” app

Article

The app replaces Biden-era CBP One, which helped asylum seekers get appointments at the border to legally enter the country. The app created by the Biden Administration called CBP One, to help asylum seekers get an appointment at the border to legally enter the country, is now CBP Home, which includes a new tool launched Monday by the Trump Administration to allow immigrants who are in the country irregularly to “self-deport.”

“The CBP Home app gives foreign nationals the option to leave now and self-deport, so they may still have the opportunity to return legally in the future and live the American dream,” Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said in a statement. “If they don't, we will find them, deport them and they will never come back.”

The app has a new feature called “Intent to Depart” that offers undocumented immigrants or those whose paroles, or parole permits, have been revoked “an orderly and defined voluntary process to notify the U.S. Government of their intent to leave the country,” according to Customs and Border Protection (CBP), which is responsible for the app. Pete Flores, acting CBP commissioner, said in a press release that through this route irregular immigrants could avoid “harsher consequences” such as detention or expedited removal.

Those undocumented immigrants who choose to self-deport using this tool must identify themselves with a photo and biographical information. The application also asks immigrants if they have “enough money to leave” the country and if they have a “valid and unexpired passport from their country of origin.” The Department of Homeland Security (DHS), the umbrella agency for immigration enforcement, such as CBP, has not clarified how the process works once the app forms are completed.

The Administration terminated CBP One just minutes after Donald Trump took office. Originally launched in 2020, the Joe Biden Administration expanded its functions in 2023 to include tools for migrants in Mexico to request appointments to file asylum petitions, in order to order the flow of migration and reduce illegal crossings. In the year it was available, one million immigrants were able to enter the country legally thanks to it.

During the campaign, Trump criticized it, saying it facilitated mass migration to the United States and that authorities did not adequately vet migrants before letting them into the country, and promised to end it. When he made good on his promise last January 20, thousands of migrants who already had scheduled appointments were left stranded without them.

"The Biden Administration took advantage of the CBP One app to allow more than one million aliens to illegally enter the United States. With the launch of the CBP Home app, we are restoring the integrity of our immigration system," Secretary Noem said Monday. Those who have the CBP One app downloaded on their cell phones will see that they will be automatically upgraded to CBP Home.

The Trump administration, frustrated with the current pace of immigrant apprehensions and deportations, has recently made “self-deportation” a key strategy in its immigration agenda. The app comes after the Republican administration announced on February 25 that it would create a registry for immigrants in an irregular situation. The measure, which has not yet entered into force, although there is no clear deadline for it, would force undocumented immigrants over 14 years of age who have been in the country for more than 30 days to provide their personal information, fingerprints and place of residence.

The Republican administration also announced last month that undocumented immigrants will be banned from flying and will only be able to board planes that will take them back to their respective countries. Until then, it was possible for people without papers to travel on domestic flights with the identification granted by the CBP One application. This was announced by the Transportation Security Administration (TSA): “Illegal aliens who previously had their identity established using CBP One will only be allowed at the checkpoint if the TSA can determine that the purpose of the travel is for deportation or movement between detention centers”.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Pentagon tasked with providing ‘military options’ to ensure US access to Panama Canal, memo says - CNN

Article

The Trump administration has formally asked Pentagon officials for “credible military options” to ensure unfettered American access to the Panama Canal, one of several new directives outlined in what amounts to a major overhaul of US strategic priorities, according to a new memo that was sent to senior leaders and reviewed by CNN.

President Donald Trump has repeatedly insisted that the US needs to reclaim the canal, most notably during his recent speech before Congress, but his administration has now formally requested potential military options for doing so, the memo from Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth reveals. Among the directives defense officials were instructed to execute “immediately” is: “Provide credible military options to ensure fair and unfettered US military and commercial access to the Panama Canal,” according to copy of the document reviewed by CNN.

Titled “Interim National Defense Strategic Guidance,” the memo represents a marked shift in Pentagon priorities compared to the directive it replaces – the 2022 National Defense Strategy – and aligns with Trump’s publicly stated goals like using military assets at the US border, reinforcing the United States’ presence in the Western Hemisphere and, otherwise, maintaining a nearly singular focus on China.

CNN has asked the Pentagon for comment on the memo. NBC first reported that the White House requested military options on the Panama Canal. The memo also states that the US military’s “foremost priority” is to defend the homeland, and instructs the Pentagon to “seal our borders, repel forms of invasion including unlawful mass migration, narcotics trafficking, human smuggling and trafficking, and other criminal activities, and deport illegal aliens in coordination with the Department of Homeland Security,” according to the copy reviewed by CNN.

Trump has made clear that he intends to redirect the military’s focus to border operations, but the guidance issued to senior Pentagon officials codifies that as the new administration’s top priority. The order for military options ensuring “unfettered” US access to the Panama Canal will likely raise major questions. Just last week, Panama’s President José Raul Mulino accused Trump of lying in his speech before Congress by saying the US had begun to reclaim the Panama Canal.

Mulino wrote on X one day after Trump’s speech that none of his conversations with US officials have covered the US reclaiming the canal. “Once again, President Trump lies. The Panama Canal is not in the process of recovery, and much less is it a task that has been discussed in our conversations with Secretary Rubio or with anyone else,” Mulino wrote. “I reject, on behalf of Panama and all Panamanians, this new affront to the truth and to our dignity as a nation,” Mulino continued.

Trump’s remarks came after the US firm BlackRock and a consortium of investors announced a deal to buy two ports at either end of the canal from a Hong Kong-based firm whose ownership had seemed to become the focus of Trump’s concern. Since its handover in 1999 the canal itself has been operated by Panama, not China, despite Trump’s claims. But the DoD memo’s reference to military options fits with the broader theme of a planning document that appears intended to reinforce Trump’s publicly stated objectives.

Signals reduction in European presence

The interim guidance in the memo also signals a clear intent to reduce the US military presence in Europe and limit assistance to Ukraine. “Americans want allies - not dependents,” Hegseth wrote. Trump has called on NATO allies to increase defense spending to 5% of gross domestic product (GDP), a number Hegseth echoed in his first official visit to Brussels last month. Among NATO members, only Poland spends more than 4%, while the US spends less 3.5% of its GDP on defense.

Hegseth called for NATO to take over “Europe’s conventional defense, including by leading efforts to arm” Ukraine. The US will provided “extended nuclear deterrence” while committing only the conventional forces that are not required domestically or in the Indo-Pacific region. The language closely mirrors what former acting Defense Secretary Christopher Miller wrote in the Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025, which called for “relying in the United States primarily for our nuclear deterrent … while reducing the US force posture in Europe

Some of Trump’s top allies, including senior advisor Elon Musk, have called for abandoning NATO altogether. Over the weekend, Musk endorsed the US leaving NATO, saying on social media “We really should. Doesn’t make sense for America to pay for the defense of Europe.” But the same demands for burden sharing and decreased reliance on the US are not made of Israel and the Sunni Arab states, some of whose leaders – including Saudi Arabia’s Mohammed bin Salman and the UAE’s Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan – have grown personally close to Trump.

Hegseth’s interim guidance calls for “providing military aid” to Israel and “continuing to arm Arabian Gulf partners” as part of a strategy of strengthening deterrence in the region. The guidance also calls for greater military cooperation between Israel and the Sunni Gulf states. Such cooperation rarely becomes public because of the diplomatic sensitivities, but it was very apparent in a joint defense of Israel against an Iranian missile attack last April. The Trump administration is also pushing for normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia, having already succeeded in normalizing ties between Israel, the UAE, and Bahrain.

[–] someone@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago
[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

The United States is set to resume shipments of long-range Ground-Launched Small Diameter Bombs (GLSDB) to Ukraine, purchased under President Biden's administration through the 'Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative.'

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[–] jack@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

Them dems have done it and your average lib is more ready to radicalize than ever - they're actually actively radicalizing, we just need to direct it to revolutionary organizing.

[–] Lovely_sombrero@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

We will support your Nazi ideology with everything, including weapons, but we just can't be seen in the room while you do the Swastika dance.

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[–] miz@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

'We are holding slaves': "Israeli" soldier reveals systematic use of Palestinian 'human shields' in Gaza | The Cradle

“In Gaza, human shields are used at least six times a day. If the Military Police want to do their job seriously, they should open at least 2,190 investigations. But the MP just want to pretend to the world that we're investigating ourselves, so they find a few scapegoats and pin everything on them,” the soldier stated, following nine months of combat in the strip.

He explained that Palestinian civilians were forced to enter homes in Gaza to check for Hamas fighters or explosives and make sure it was safe for the soldiers to enter themselves. The soldiers refer to Palestinians forced to clear homes in this way as “Shawish” or “slaves.”

Sometimes, Shawish are sent to houses simply to set fire to or blow up the house.

c/news post here: https://hexbear.net/post/4474999

[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (9 children)
[–] edge@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Odessa locals are now calling the the shooter a hero and urging more actions should be taken against Zelensky's conscription officers.

Based.

I honestly think Odessa should probably go to Russia after all Ukraine has put them through. Unfortunately it's probably just going to be the four oblasts Russia already annexed.

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[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

turned himself in to police.

Jesus, people. Learn to live and fight another day. Instead of one Nazi dropping six feet under, it could be a dozen.

Anyway, hope people keep standing up for him.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Peru: Former president Pedro Castillo was hospitalized in Lima due to a health decompensation after starting a hunger strike to protest against his trial.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says the war with Russia may be close to ending. "Now we have a good chance of ending this war quickly and securing peace. We have solid understandings on security with our European partners. Now we are close to the first step in ending any war. Silence." Zelensky said.

Donald Trump claims that thousands of Ukrainian soldiers are surrounded by Russian troops in Kusrk and asks Putin to “preserve lives”. "At this very moment, thousands of Ukrainian troops are completely surrounded by the Russian military, and in a very bad and vulnerable position. I strongly urge President Putin that their lives be spared. This would be a horrible massacre, not seen since the Second World War. God bless them all," Trump said.

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[–] Leegh@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (3 children)
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[–] vegeta1@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

CNN.. Agreeing that Khalil's case is his rights being violated still misinformed on his views. Even compared him to KKK and bought into the trump smear campaigns. I hope some libs see that and realize that CNN is not serious some are tbh because musks "roman salute" is still not widely condemned there. Comedy

[–] thethirdgracchi@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (6 children)

Fun article in the FT this weekend about Germany's military recruitment failures. Highlights:

As a podcaster and freelance journalist, Ole Nymoen admits he enjoys freedom of expression and other democratic rights in his home country of GERMANY. But he would not want to die for THEM. In a book published this week, Why I Would Never Fight for My Country, the 27-year-old argues ordinary people should not be sent into battle on behalf of nation states and their rulers — even to fend off an invasion. Occupation by a foreign power might lead to a “shitty” life, he told the Financial Times. “But I’d rather be occupied than dead.” Nymoen, a self-described Marxist, does not claim to be representative of Generation Z in Germany. But his stance — and his striking honesty about it — taps into a wider questions facing Europe as it re-arms on a scale not seen since the end of the cold war.

But, while those funds are helping to plug gaps in arms and equipment, one of the biggest remaining issues is manpower. Germany’s armed forces commissioner, Eva Högl, this week warned the country was not closer to its goal of having 203,000 active troops by 2031, as the overall size of the armed forces slightly declined last year, partly because of a high number of dropouts. A quarter of the 18,810 men and women who signed up in 2023 left the armed forces within six months.

Christian Mölling, Europe director at the Bertelsmann Foundation, estimates that German troop numbers need to rise from 181,000 today to 270,000 in the years ahead in order to reach Nato targets — and fill gaps left if American forces stationed in Europe withdraw.

While a recent survey by the pollster YouGov found 58 per cent of Germans would support a return to conscription, only a third of those aged between 18 and 29 felt the same way. Nymoen, himself a Die Linke voter, is deeply suspicious of Europe’s race to re-arm. It was all very well for European leaders to sound belligerent, he said. “The thing is that, in the end, it’s going to be me in the trenches.”

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[–] ThisMachinePostsHog@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

The weather is looking particularly dangerous tonight in the Mississippi valley. Stay safe, any comrades that live in the highlighted areas!

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Afghanistan will soon begin construction to complete a highway through the Wakhan Corridor that will connect the country with the Xinjiang Province of China

Should the road be completed, and integrated into the Afghan highway system, China will have direct trading routes to Iran and the rest of the Middle East that bypasses Pakistan and Central Asia, areas where there have been a high risk of sabotage to the One Belt One Road Initiative.

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[–] Z_Poster365@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

High risk of sabotage in Afghanistan too, with all the “ISIS K” folks running around

[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Russian President Vladimir Putin has invited Nicholas Maduro, President of Venezuela, to attend the Victory Day Parade in Moscow on May 9th.

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[–] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Democrats "fold", pass the GOP continuing resolution which gives Trump more power to do what he wants with funding regardless of where it was supposed to go.

Schumer of course won't be removed, because this was all show.

[–] Parsani@hexbear.net 1 points 1 month ago

Welcome back Mr Harper. Canada is finally on the right track repealing the communist carbon tax and the woke marginal increase to the capital gains tax.

Don't let those radical leftists tell you that having a blind trust with an undisclosed amount of assets is a conflict of interest. At least I know that finally someone is here to speak for my boss.

The future of Canada is bright.

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