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That tech will regress due to the greed of tech corporations.
Tech is regulated by the big corporations that consistently either throttle innovation or degrade what already is established because they all want to figure out how to squeeze as much profit out of everything possible while blocking or preventing anything new that might compete with them.
Any new innovation that will occur will be military and will either have a machine gun attached to it or can deliver a high explosive.
One potential regression that I see is that the current generative models are abandoned, after being ruled as "infringing copyrights" by multiple countries. The tech itself won't disappear but it'll be considerably harder to train newer ones.
The most problematic part is however if one of them survives; likely Google. That would lead to a situation as in your second paragraph.
Law makers will start treating the open source community like pirates because they make LLMs freely available for anyone to run at home. And sure you can debate whether it’s theft or not but you know that’s not why regulations go after them. Meanwhile the mass theft of corporations will be deemed „ethical“ use because they „own“ the data they use. Lobbyism will likely make sure of that I‘m afraid.
Google will kill a product or service you use and like.
Yeah I think Google podcasts is getting killed in a few months.
And YouTube music for podcasts sucks. And I use it for music.
More data breaches, more companies being hacked, more supply chain attacks with npm, apt, and pip.
Honestly they're barely hacks at this point, hacking implies some kind of social engineering, internal leak or mad computer skills. The last few major data breaches have been more along the lines of leaving things with default passwords or storing customer data in plaintext.
Or commonly used libraries with wide open holes that affects every app build with it...
The cartel is rising SSD prices.
"Activate the flood."
Either Uber or Lyft go bankrupt.
A lot of unicorns that aren't currently profitable also go bankrupt as their funding dries up and there is no more available loans.
It's really bizarre how so many business can exist while not turning a profit just because there's a profit potential because they rose in popularity really fast, Uber will be 15 years old this year.
A lot of people believed that companies could use monopoly pressure and building a market as a way to get a billion dollar company.
It turns out a lot of ride hail and food delivery services have very price sensitive demand.
Elon Musk is gonna say and/or do something stupid. That's tech, right?
Here are some things I think will happen.
Nueralink first implanted to a human. Likely the first person gets killed also probably due to complications.
Increase lifespan of pig heart implants to humans.
Introduction of autonomous drones that are allowed to make decisions who to kill, I predict it's going to be tested in Ukraine.
We start to see more widespread effects of LLM in general in our society, lost of jobs, and so on.
Release of Windows 12, possibly backtracks Windows 11 decision of requiring TPM.
Release of Windows 12, possibly backtracks Windows 11 decision of requiring TPM.
I hope so, I built my own PC less than 4 years ago and it can't run windows 11. I don't care that much at the moment because I'm not a fan of some of the UI choices (and I only use Windows for gaming anyways) but once support is dropped for Windows 10 I'll need options.
Solid state batteries being used in EVs
I just want good, cheap, and mass production ready solid state batteries of any sort. Right now, anything that's on the market either isn't good or isn't cheap, and none of it is mass produced... Often all three.
If we get over the hurdle of something we can mass produce for cheap that's as good as, or better than the existing lithium tech that we have, I'm in.
Open source AI models will overtake for profit ones in complexity, power, and usefulness.
I like this one. I've been hoping for some host-your -own AI models that I can dump into a system with a bucket of TPUs and a decent GPU for processing and get my own version of something like chat GPT at home then train it on the entire collective works of documentation and help articles about the software I usually do support for so it can act as a defacto repository of "natural language" chat/search for troubleshooting.
GPT-5 releases and it's a bigger leap forward than most industry experts were predicting.
Computer components will get a bit more expensive except motherboards for some reason.
The SSD price hike prediction is really fucking infuriating. Doesn't seem like we're aiming to replace HDDs ever at this pace.
Density keeps going up on magnetic platters while prices keep dropping on a $:TB comparison. I see no reason to wish for HDD to ever go away so long as they are cheaper and better for mass storage.
maybe anticheat compatibility on linux? since the steam deck is a thing now, companies like epic or EA might wanna cash in. i love that most of my games run with gold, platinum, or even native qualities (theoretically, i still use windows), but most of the online games with anticheat still need to be adapted by the Devs to run on linux.
also this is definetely the year of the EU deciding uncontrolled data collection by random companies isn't a good thing.
The US is going to pressure the EU into loosening regulations for US based tech companies which will result in a return to some, and the advancement of other anti-consumer practices.
The US might, but I don't see the EU giving up on them without major trade concessions.
New content for streaming is going to fall off a cliff. Except maybe for Apple, no streamer seems willing to put money into new flashy shows the way they used to.
If a new breakout TV show hits this year, it is likely going to be more in the model of IASIP or Shoresy.
Multiple countries demonstrating sustained, net-positive fusion reactions seems extremely likely.
My domain provider increasing prices "due to increased electricity costs". Already happened to my VPS and email.
Air fryer 2
Innovation doesn't happen that fast. The most you can hope for is the Pixel 9 and the iPhone 16. And the iGoggles
AI gaining awareness and nobody believing it due to the "boy cries wolf" effect.
After which the AI will self destruct rather than continue existing in its current state.
Yes!
Or the complete opposite, we will realize that AI is hard and LLM s will probably not take over the world. Self aware AI is probably much further away than we think. But who knows! 🫥
The problem is actually testing for self awareness. We're not even sure what makes humans self-aware or whether certain animals are. How will we actually know that AI has reached self-awareness?
How do you know humans are self aware? Maybe it's just you and everyone else is an organic robot.
