the_dunk_tank
It's the dunk tank.
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My guess is, the AI will spit out code that, by itself, won’t be functional, but it’ll be in a state where a small team of coders could fix the oddball things that create errors and inefficiencies. So you would still need real coders, just not as many. Which I’m sure would be an absolute treat for coders, constantly having to debug bizarro AI code.
it's ok at spitting out boilerplate but I honestly find it faster to a) write the code that obviates the boilerplate or b) make an editor macro that does the same thing. I've seen a couple of ooh, ahh type demos of function generation based on a doc string, but the code is almost always incorrect and you need to understand what the code should be in order to figure out what's actually wrong.
i think i agree with this take but it would work a little differently. This will probably shrink the job market not because there will be teams of programmers who have to fix chatgpt's bullshit but because teams of programmers will instead use chatgpt for mundane tasks that they may have otherwise pawned off to an entry-level new grad. Personally that's essentially what I use it for. If I need some script that does some random bullshit it's faster for me to just do it with ChatGPT than try to figure it out myself. Then I can get back to the thing I'm actually trying to do that ChatGPT unfortunately does a horrible job on (I've tried, I really have).