https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/15/business/china-gdp-q1.html
it is 2022, the libs say China will not recover from post COVID lull
it is 2021, the libs say China will not recover from harsh, extended COVID lockdowns
it is 2019, the libs say China will not recover from international backlash for cracking down on Hong Kong riots
it is 2018, the libs say China will not recover from international backlash over ~~Adrian Zenz's fever dream~~ the Uyghur genocide and Trump's trade war with China
it is 2016, the libs say China will not recover from an aging population and a lack of youth to replace them due to the one child policy and wasting money on an aerospace program
it is 2014, the libs say China will not recover from Xi's crackdowns on corruption and corporate greed, military spending and renewed efforts to claim the South China Sea
it is 2010, the libs say China will not recover from wasting trillions into a national high speed rail system
This book published in 2001 predicted China would collapse by 2011. In late 2011 the author adjusted the prediction to 2012, and to "bet on it". I doubt bookies take those kind of bets but I hope he lost money on it.
He had the wisdom to not make another specific prediction since, unlike the China Bad YouTubers.
Should've known that from the beginning, that's prophecy grifting 101.