-The FBI announce they're opening an investigation into her for doing document and/or email stuff

-She picks as VP and somehow loses 52 states (Trump wins Newer Mexico and Westest Virginia by 88 points)

-She gets too barred up on 9/11 and faints at a campaign event

-She pulls a and crashes a V-22 Osprey

-She gets caught on a hot mic calling the f-slur

Green wins 5 percent in all swing states

Numbers I'm seeing have Trump the favorite over her.

By pandering to the 2016 micro aggressions discourse people saying "coconut could be a slur" or having whoever is today's equivalent of Lena Dunham speak at the convention, or leaning too much into "yasss queen" stuff that is more about worshipping the candidate than centering the policies they support. The Republicans currently wield the mantle of being really annoying and weird, Kamala would do well to not help libs reclaim it. Also, just no more smugness as a response to Trump's wacky shit. Hillary was too into that annoying Colbert Report era "I think therefore I am liberal" winky snark. She kept doing it in the debates and it lent itself to no good sound bites, just a feeling of condescension while general voters thought Trump's panicked tone at the least matched their anxieties.

Kamala can just lose because America is still at its core a majority chud country, especially in the swing states, no more, no less...

People realize she has the exact same policies as Biden and her polling goes back down to where he was.

A few things that stick out to me as possibilities:

• Her awkward personality is a slow burn grate on the populace. Probably no single moment here, just a built up of events and speeches that communicate no charisma.
• It’s been reported that both her primary campaign in 2020 and her VP outfit have been marred by mismanagement, in-fighting, unclear chains of command. Likely her presidential campaign is more of the same. Besides that generally being a hindrance, if disgruntled staff start talking to the press that’s going to create the image of a sinking ship which will put off voters.
• The genocide in Gaza starts getting much, much uglier. I don’t think the Palestinian issue is front and center for most voters, but if the atrocities get more blatant and Harris keeps defending Israel, it could sour enough voters to swing some states.
• More “Pell-grant recipients” policy platforms. This would likely tie in with the first issue; voters don’t like these overly wrought, means-tested programs and if everything out of her is like that, it’s going to feed the sense of her being unlikable. Voters read triangulation as shifty.
• COVID makes a roaring comeback. Cases/hospitalizations/deaths spiking close to the election would undermine the spin that Democrats “beat” COVID, would drive a lot of liberal voters to stay home (but not conservatives) and the associated economic hit would be placed on Harris’ neck.
• Speaking of which: it’s the economy, stupid. People are already feeling like the economy is going the wrong direction with inflation of essentials, home and tuition prices through the roof, and interest rates up. Things get any worse, that will disillusion voters and as dumb as it is, there’s a not-insignificant chunk of the electorate in play that see Republicans as better on the economy.

UNLIMITED GENOCIDE ON THE WESTERN WORLD

Her recent nomination brat meme and coconut thing has given her. A Lot of momentum 3 months from now the dust will have settled and we will be able to tell clearly Jd vance sucks, so did Mike pence and so did kamala in 2020 No one cares about the vp pick It's trump vs no Trump basically The argument for kamala is that she is more of the same That's really all there is to it

Her poll numbers in the 2020 primaries were bad. Now that she got wild-carded into the big game we'll see whether that was just a momentum/name recognition thing or voters really find something off-putting about her.

People figure the DNC didn't care if they voted for her in primaries, why should they care that I don't at all vote in the election.

It is revealed Trump orchestrated the assassination attempt and had the secret service shoot a person in the audience to make it more realistic, although he was never in danger himself, but people think it's really cool and Machiavellian and he plays it off well.

JD Vance gets Matt Gaetz level plastic surgery and removes himself from the public spotlight for a week then starts pretending to be a different kind of guy with a nickname.

I can easily see her losing for very boring reasons: just not being very charismatic and likeable, and/or just not having disciplined and effective messaging that excites people into actually voting for her. I'm expecting a crash back to reality in the next few weeks here when people realize that she's not really that good at campaigning.

Quite soundly

if she refuses to support a policy of a beanis in every pot.

Hilary runs third party as a spoiler candidate, ensuring she's not the only person who loses to Trump.

I think the way she loses is complacency and over-reliance on polling. Same things that sunk Hillary, basically - don't fund a ground game, don't contest winnable states, don't shore up loseable states. I'm fully in the "whoever excites their base the most wins" camp but I'm also in the "the American electorate have very short memories" camp - Kamala can't expect the explosion of energy that followed Joe dropping out to be self-sustaining all the way to November, her campaign has to keep the energy up and if possible increase it.

Alternate possibility: Kamala leans too hard into the coconut shit and starts talking like a terminal Twitter user and alienates all of the people who just got excited for her.

Trump gets shot again, this time by Crooks' brother

"I'm Speaking" does a "Hawk Tuah" style speedrun after the first and only debate, making everyone loathe her

Trump still beats her among Hispanics

I think there's a lot she can do to fuck this up. But given all the chaos what I can't figure out is if this is her game to lose. Because that changes the calculus. If she's playing defense she'll probably eek out a win. If she has ground to make up, that's when shit will get wild and probably very funny.

by running