6 states siding against a supreme court decision to deny access to federal authorities seems big, if thats happened in my lifetime I've not heard of it before

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[–] SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net 37 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Wrong about the beginning of events, but correct about their trajectory once they have begun

But often only because we go "No, that won't happen, that would be stupid and counterproductive for the West" but then they just do the thing anyway and so we just go "...okay, well, they're gonna lose then"

[–] Egon@hexbear.net 26 points 9 months ago (2 children)

I think the skepticism toward the invasion of Ukraine was completely correct and valid, we just forgot we live in hell world.

[–] Sephitard9001@hexbear.net 12 points 9 months ago

It was a Thatcher bombing situation. The libs crying wolf about Russia only have to get lucky once, we have to get lucky every single time. They like to forget that they were howling about an imminent Russian invasion for months and even US analysts no longer considered it plausible. And then it happened.

[–] HumanBehaviorByBjork@hexbear.net 12 points 9 months ago

i mean the specific miscalculation was basically not accounting for the Putin government having any motivations beyond the national interest of Russia.