this post was submitted on 10 Feb 2024
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chapotraphouse
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People think Michelle Obama is more likely than RFK Jr?
I don't know the ultimate source of the screengrab. It might be a site run by a guy in his mancave as a joke slash way to make money. But libs live in world were politics can be seen as some combination of sports, entertainment, and fantasy football. It'll never happen but If she declared her 2024 candidacy - a large percentage of the lib voter base would be instantly ecstatic. "Another Obama in the White House! Let's make it happen!" I'd love it too. Biden would tank at least 10 points in the polls in a week. Serious pundits would be forced to discuss the possibility of Biden dropping out. And best of all - man, would he be mad! I'd watch his press conferences in the hopes he'd lose it.
But back in the real world - Biden's the nominee until he gets incapacitated do to serious health problems or he dies of old age.
I just struggle to believe that 7.2% of people would put money betting on Michelle Obama to become the next president. I know libs love her, but this isn't about "who would you like to be president", but "who do you think will be president" and she's not running. That can't be right.
It's more like 7.2% of the money that people are willing to bet. And they're weirdos who like prediction markets.
I googled for a poll. The following is from 2021. I know it's not the greatest. It's "if Biden doesn't run" and it's far too old but it's the only poll I could find. Google results were garbage.