this post was submitted on 10 Feb 2024
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chapotraphouse

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57
Top 5 for US President 2024 according to betting market(s). Are you surprised by #3? (hexbear.net)
submitted 9 months ago by InevitableSwing@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net
NSFW 24 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

Betting markets think Michelle Obama is 3rd most likely to be the next president (I disagree but ymmv)

Nitter

I don't know if it's a betting market or markets. I checked the thread - I don't know the ultimate source.

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[–] Owl@hexbear.net 1 points 9 months ago

I made a killing for a while on Manifold (a fake money prediction market) based primarily on a strategy of "nothing ever happens." And this sort of 7% bet on a nonsense tail-end probability really reminds me of why that worked.