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this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2024
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chapotraphouse
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Everything I've heard is that Biden keeps hitting new lows, so this poll might be an outlier
I think polling is probably (way) off anyway because...
I think a significant percentage of people on both sides is lying to pollsters. Trump voters are lying about being "concerned" about Trump being a felon. I think they aren't. Biden voters saying age isn't an issue and they'll vote for him anyway. I think they won't.
What sane, rational American able to at least communicate effectively over the phone answers an unknown number in 2024? Pollsters have to sample a gigantic number of people just to get a "representative" sample size. But how can that truly be representative?
About lying to pollsters...
And Americans have gotten insane in the last 40+ years.
The polls were mostly accurate in 2022. They're reliable predictors of election results for the most part.