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submitted 4 months ago* (last edited 4 months ago) by InevitableSwing@hexbear.net to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net

This poll is wild. Head to head Biden wins under 35s by less than three points. He is up 15 points with 65+. A bunch of the other cross-tabs look basically plausible.

Biden is +5 in the suburbs (+19 with suburban women), +27 with “moderates” (self-ID), and wins 40% of rural whites. If you assume that under-35s are basically impossible to accurately poll in this era the guts of this thing spell an absolute collapse for Trump.

https://subium.com/profile/rickywlmsbong.bsky.social/post/3kvcydtkdos2q

Fox News Poll: Three-point shift in Biden-Trump matchup since May | Fox News

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[-] red_stapler@hexbear.net 16 points 4 months ago

The debates will probably flip this again.

[-] InevitableSwing@hexbear.net 17 points 4 months ago

I can't wait for those. Their brains will leak out of their ears. After the debates both parties will claim victory. The GOP will lie and say only Biden had leakage. Yuge leakage. The biggest leakage in the history of leakage and... The dem's lie will be more modest. They'll say Biden had minor leakage but Trump had massive leakage and Project 2025 and Trump is fascism and God Bless These United States of America and blah blah blah.

this post was submitted on 20 Jun 2024
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